NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Titans: O/U 39.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4765fcf991fe4e2a0ceb24c4b0be71396023d808235b91e9017d1bb1afb74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 8,057$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.77 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.88 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 5,301$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.52 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…ab89backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…8478backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…54b5backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 55c | 3,777$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 2,671$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.68 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,829$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.27 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 1,761$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.2 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 47c | 1,724$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.43 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Over | 51c | 1,387$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.76 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 52c | 921$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.92 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 442.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 334.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 304.75$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 258.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 242.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 228.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 214.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Under | 53c | 214$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 184$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 183$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 52c | 173.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 50c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 52c | 96.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 28c | 70.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Under | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 38.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 31.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…7ee7backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 69c | 25.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 53c | 20.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…b10bbacked Under | 52c | 19.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saints vs. Titans: O/U 39.5this page
- 1H Spread: Saints (-0.5)Titans won
- Saints vs. TitansSaints won
- Saints vs. Titans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: Saints (-1.5)Saints won
- Spread: Saints (-2.5)Saints won
- Spread: Saints (-3.5)Saints won
- Spread: Titans (-3.5)Saints won
- Spread: Titans (-5.5)Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.