TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Saints, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,098,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,176,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,098,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Saints51c209,062$106,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,440.461030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Titans49c135,287$66,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,231.687554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Titans48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.993850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Titans49c78,341$38,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,386.9216836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Saints52c54,480$28,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,900.44250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Saints24c44,245$10,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,770.5630043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Titans47c42,124$19,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,798.1386547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Titans49c40,800$19,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,9926764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Saints51c38,052$19,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,725.899359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Saints52c33,430$17,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,051.0711544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Saints52c31,251$16,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,000.4724957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints60c24,605$14,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,929.6783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Titans16c22,244$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.5423244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Titans47c19,131$8,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,995.135152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saints53c17,221$9,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,072.7353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Titans6c16,517$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.8310026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Titans63c15,825$9,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,963.7775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Titans50c15,355$7,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,677.4931240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Titans48c14,583$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Titans46c12,472$5,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,736.9122450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Saints54c11,127$5,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.517248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Titans48c10,041$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.0135848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Saints50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Saints52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Titans70c8,161$5,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,696.6120026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Saints54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Saints52c7,790$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.428551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Titans80c7,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Titans50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Saints54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2202030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5176…9229backed Saints22c6,854$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,354.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+52.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans47c6,549$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.421,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Saints52c6,501$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.0131854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Saints74c6,246$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.9360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saints52c5,379$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.0554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Titans39c5,031$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.5131056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Saints52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.998351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Titans46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9651352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Saints53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.924240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Saints51c4,998$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.4837350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Titans43c4,600$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9947259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Saints56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.296965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Titans44c4,432$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.9625744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Saints54c4,400$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.4965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Saints54c4,175$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.4547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Titans50c4,098$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.3831543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Titans59c4,074$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.5427348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Saints51c4,062$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.4616254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Saints51c4,028$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.4811139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Titans45c3,827$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.7426547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Saints53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5813335.3%47 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Saints54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.74148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Saints55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.363271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Titans29c3,606$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.988737.9%33 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Saints46c3,500$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.5636246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Titans70c3,400$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.7611254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Titans46c3,399$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.3519645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Saints32c3,136$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.248128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Saints52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Titans46c3,000$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39012250%61 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Saints21c2,831$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.522626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91df…93adbacked Titans46c2,666$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Titans28c2,652$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.1811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546c…6d31backed Saints54c2,647$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Saints39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Titans36c2,554$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.49853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Saints52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Saints53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17514641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Titans48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Saints51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Saints29c2,434$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.795038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Titans22c2,383$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.166743.3%29 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb43c…18a9backed Titans46c2,300$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c69…43e0backed Saints55c2,299$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d6…0190backed Titans47c2,299$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5d…78e3backed Saints54c2,299$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Titans65c2,278$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.6315446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a35…f7dabacked Saints54c2,259$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde29…88adbacked Titans47c2,259$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf120…3136backed Titans47c2,229$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…29d4backed Saints54c2,229$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675f…3a5abacked Titans47c2,199$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788c…9ec5backed Saints54c2,199$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Titans48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4e9ebacked Titans80c2,036$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Saints52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Saints50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Saints53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…03edbacked Titans77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Saints55c2,000$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89520646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Saints53c1,889$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.299444.7%42 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Saints56c1,876$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.3112744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd611…24fdbacked Saints54c1,863$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+95.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…491dbacked Titans47c1,863$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Titans39c1,542$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5219235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Saints54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6903246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Titans47c1,500$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.457050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Saints57c1,477$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1726650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked Titans6c1,407$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Titans43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.