TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Saintsof Saints, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints38c7,893$2,991 inWon+$4,901.3583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Titans62c5,870$3,639 inLost-$3,639.1875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Saints38c5,000$1,900 inWon+$3,10016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Titans62c3,032$1,879 inLost-$1,878.915446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Titans62c2,555$1,585 inLost-$1,585.4177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Saints38c1,333$506 inWon+$826.323522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Titans61c964.34$588 inLost-$588.2539447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Saints39c900$347 inWon+$55365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Saints39c769.23$300 inWon+$469.233246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Titans64c500$320 inLost-$3208345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Titans62c483.87$300 inLost-$30020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints39c453.69$177 inWon+$276.721,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Saints38c442$168 inWon+$274.0426649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saints41c440$180 inWon+$260.450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Titans61c439.77$270 inLost-$270.2753253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Titans59c400$236 inLost-$23613641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Saints43c124.42$54 inWon+$70.9220632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Titans61c100$61 inLost-$619651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Saints38c81.5$31 inWon+$50.2836341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saints39c77.99$30 inWon+$47.7516349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Titans57c66.73$38 inLost-$38.0434652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Saints36c60$22 inWon+$38.413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Saints36c60$22 inWon+$38.412458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f98…6d01backed Saints38c52.63$20 inWon+$32.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saints38c52$20 inWon+$32.0854451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Titans61c40$24 inLost-$24.412459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Titans40c39.54$16 inLost-$15.9429439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Saints44c37.27$16 inWon+$20.871450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Titans57c30$17 inLost-$17.134247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Saints40c30$12 inWon+$1812756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Titans58c29.03$17 inLost-$16.7186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Saints67c25$17 inWon+$8.2535648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Saints70c25$18 inWon+$7.520757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x60e6…89e4backed Titans64c22.75$15 inLost-$14.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.