Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f1e9218bcd41ced05faf3c03f026721d87712556bf2828337551f03cae0a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,322,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,416,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,322,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 56c | 399,763$225,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225,577.67 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 51c | 195,928$99,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,011.11 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked No | 48c | 99,001$47,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,900.43 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 44c | 86,869$38,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,771.1 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 50c | 62,407$30,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,892.19 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 52c | 55,000$28,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,349.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 45c | 52,783$23,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,912.1 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 48,931$23,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,185.47 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 49c | 41,005$19,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,016.09 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…43c1backed No | 48c | 40,550$19,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,482.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed No | 61c | 37,707$22,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,861.14 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…a1edbacked Yes | 28c | 36,055$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,054.67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 50c | 35,003$17,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,375.78 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed Yes | 49c | 33,593$16,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,034.06 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 51c | 33,477$17,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,347.24 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…1540backed Yes | 62c | 30,468$18,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,555.98 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 42c | 29,525$12,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,043.67 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 69c | 28,004$19,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,453.92 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 45c | 26,472$11,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,512.74 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 41c | 25,977$10,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,379.93 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…4fc9backed Yes | 39c | 25,765$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,763.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…e25fbacked Yes | 32c | 22,152$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,060.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 54c | 21,952$11,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,913.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…16e6backed Yes | 39c | 20,451$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,545.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 29c | 20,310$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,477.97 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 72c | 20,301$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,600.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 38c | 20,020$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,457.95 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…fccdbacked Yes | 48c | 19,856$9,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,228.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 64c | 19,458$12,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,539.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 50c | 18,344$9,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,158.55 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 50c | 17,909$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880.14 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 49c | 17,239$8,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.58 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 63c | 17,146$10,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.91 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…5415backed Yes | 50c | 16,505$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 46c | 16,358$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 49c | 15,991$7,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,812.73 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…e215backed Yes | 39c | 15,385$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,325.37 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +10.6wins | +0.62per pick | 26cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 46c | 15,120$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.93 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 45c | 15,069$6,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,303.5 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes | 54c | 14,875$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,877.56 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…3c94backed Yes | 48c | 14,473$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,558.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…1941backed Yes | 44c | 13,946$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…2ca3backed Yes | 48c | 13,740$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…b8c9backed Yes | 51c | 13,603$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.11 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 49c | 13,415$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…3211backed No | 54c | 12,500$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 54c | 12,358$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.64 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…28e5backed No | 70c | 12,000$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,429.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 54c | 11,981$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.12 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed Yes | 53c | 11,747$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 47c | 11,486$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.1 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 37c | 11,399$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.62 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…f55ebacked No | 69c | 11,120$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,633.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…3c60backed No | 47c | 11,032$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 55c | 10,982$6,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 51c | 10,513$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.74 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…eed3backed Yes | 55c | 10,339$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes | 33c | 10,263$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.26 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +10.0wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 32c | 10,007$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.31 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.99 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 48c | 9,989$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.34 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbc…6ad6backed Yes | 50c | 9,971$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 41c | 9,954$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…7632backed Yes | 30c | 9,859$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,863.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076a…d67abacked Yes | 48c | 9,649$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 46c | 9,522$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,144.74 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 44c | 9,432$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.57 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 47c | 9,314$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 41c | 8,945$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 8,162$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,132$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed No | 50c | 8,056$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes | 36c | 7,801$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 45c | 7,401$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.24 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed No | 48c | 7,381$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 56c | 7,312$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.02 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 47c | 7,238$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.2 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 35c | 7,145$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.76 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…d642backed Yes | 26c | 7,047$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…14ddbacked Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 64c | 7,000$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.97 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…f9e6backed Yes | 45c | 6,911$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 43c | 6,901$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Yes | 51c | 6,683$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 55c | 6,496$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…479cbacked Yes | 46c | 6,356$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…3160backed Yes | 50c | 6,065$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…481bbacked Yes | 54c | 6,003$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 66c | 6,000$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…4f6cbacked Yes | 28c | 5,966$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…6639backed Yes | 51c | 5,872$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.16 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 44c | 5,735$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.05 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 51c | 5,659$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.71 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed Yes | 52c | 5,637$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.77 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…30b2backed Yes | 36c | 5,544$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 48c | 5,528$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.37 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 38c | 5,501$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.66 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 5,439$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.41 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…65d9backed Yes | 37c | 5,415$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.