NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de7df9af3d996788c10a152f2bfbf488a9bc8b2a64545269335f898ebdd543a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Celtics | 49c | 186,642$91,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,188.79 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 51c | 180,639$92,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,141.09 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 48c | 35,106$16,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,298.48 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Bulls | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 48c | 12,920$6,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,715.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bulls | 54c | 11,876$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.26 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Celtics | 45c | 9,021$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.37 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Celtics | 46c | 8,897$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 46c | 8,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 53c | 7,714$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Bulls | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls | 52c | 7,289$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.36 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 46c | 6,728$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 48c | 6,090$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.8 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Bulls | 54c | 5,059$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.6 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Bulls | 51c | 4,195$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Celtics | 49c | 4,194$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bulls | 50c | 4,106$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.02 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Celtics | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.94 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Bulls | 50c | 3,827$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 55c | 3,705$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 52c | 3,057$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bulls | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bulls | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Bulls | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…83a8backed Celtics | 50c | 1,785$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bulls | 52c | 1,777$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.04 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Celtics | 55c | 1,189$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.97 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 51c | 1,182$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Celtics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bulls | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Bulls | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…7e26backed Bulls | 1c | 943.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 50c | 856.09$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Bulls | 53c | 793.21$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Bulls | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 55c | 741.84$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.01 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Celtics | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bulls | 43c | 615.52$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Bulls | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Bulls | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 47c | 500.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Celtics | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Bulls | 53c | 474.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bulls | 53c | 462.39$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bulls | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Bulls | 51c | 389.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 48c | 340.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Celtics | 47c | 333$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Bulls | 53c | 308.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Celtics | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Celtics | 46c | 271.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 48c | 270.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Celtics | 48c | 268.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 49c | 217.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Bulls | 52c | 213.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Bulls | 55c | 206.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Celtics | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…ed46backed Bulls | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Bulls | 20c | 184.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Bulls | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Celtics | 47c | 179.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Bulls | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Bulls | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Bulls | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Bulls | 53c | 175.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Celtics | 48c | 171.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Bulls | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Bulls | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa892…c3acbacked Bulls | 54c | 162.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Bulls | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Bulls | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Bulls | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Celtics | 50c | 141.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Bulls | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Celtics | 77c | 136$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Celtics | 49c | 132$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bulls | 51c | 129.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Celtics | 46c | 128.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Celtics | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Celtics | 46c | 114.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Bulls | 52c | 111.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…8d18backed Celtics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Bulls | 52c | 106.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Bulls | 53c | 104.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Celtics | 46c | 104.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…a5a5backed Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.