TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over49c10,505$5,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,147.4324053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c6,761$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.512,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over51c5,869$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.3811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c3,644$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.62,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c3,581$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c3,104$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c2,342$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.193,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under51c2,040$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.67358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c1,986$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.7952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under55c1,760$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c1,500$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over49c1,491$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73612151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under50c1,442$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72116254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over2c1,189$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.132,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Over46c1,151$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4117151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,099$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3950754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c930$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c887.89$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.3184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under55c875.67$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0515756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c866.69$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c788$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3942,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over46c771$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c766$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.11,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c720.69$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c679.73$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.073,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c278$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.441,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under57c257.97$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5224846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c232.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.572,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e9…3a73backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b7…287cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c81…1056backed Under53c195$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce0…7058backed Over48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under51c192.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…40d8backed Under51c192.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+122%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c169$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under53c162$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.149360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under49c135.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1729351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under50c132.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4717949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over46c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under53c116$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.528552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under55c105$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2513652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4847738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd57b…ec5fbacked Under55c93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5915959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa125…ed02backed Over47c85.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117a…01babacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under53c72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.844957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over48c69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.124250%21 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over31c62.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed Over48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Over47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.683850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a77…37c0backed Over47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.213450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.761,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.743438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.276154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb2…af18backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2223642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e9…d882backed Under52c39.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468452.4%44 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over37c37.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042030%6 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.572751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e9…85d9backed Over51c29.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over51c29.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under52c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c8…b387backed Under49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over47c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.693951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over47c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.693759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Under52c25.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.027851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over49c23.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6110234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.344242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.343438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.