NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937fa61609f11ab7589f837cc06d15ae11512a37025102a1e27f7195b3f2db91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 10,505$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.43 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 6,761$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 51c | 5,869$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.38 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 3,644$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 3,581$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,104$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,342$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 49c | 1,986$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.79 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 55c | 1,760$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.87 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 49c | 1,491$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 50c | 1,442$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 2c | 1,189$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 46c | 1,151$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.41 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,099$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.39 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 930$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 887.89$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 55c | 875.67$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.05 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 866.69$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 771$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.66 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 766$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 720.69$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 679.73$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 278$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 57c | 257.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 232.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e9…3a73backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…287cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Under | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…7058backed Over | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 51c | 192.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…40d8backed Under | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +122%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 169$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 49c | 135.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 50c | 132.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 53c | 116$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…ec5fbacked Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…ed02backed Over | 47c | 85.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 31c | 62.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a77…37c0backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…af18backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed Under | 52c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 37c | 37.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…85d9backed Over | 51c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 29.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 52c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 52c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.