TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bulls46c3,792$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.427745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Celtics57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7748448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Bulls43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9918553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Celtics54c2,278$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.8824051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Bulls45c1,797$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bulls44c1,700$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.982,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics56c1,327$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Celtics57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.191553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics55c1,103$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Celtics56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics53c903.2$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.51,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Celtics55c567.94$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.543360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Celtics54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bulls47c472.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Celtics54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9612149.6%60 W · 61 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Bulls47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Celtics55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6438649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls46c344.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Celtics54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Celtics53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14128751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Celtics57c297.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9818343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Bulls44c261.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Bulls46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Celtics56c203.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5710953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Celtics54c188.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.541,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Celtics54c161.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.437255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Celtics54c139$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9411158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Bulls47c125.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.174547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7214…7c59backed Bulls45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Celtics57c116$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.884429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Celtics54c103.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.719150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Celtics54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Celtics57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Celtics54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4619254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Celtics53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710758.9%63 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Celtics54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Celtics56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2915161.6%93 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04f5…4252backed Celtics56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Celtics57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7210058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Celtics57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7261056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Bulls34c81.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7250648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Celtics56c78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.326045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Celtics57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8511143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Celtics53c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Celtics54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5615752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffcf…ec0ebacked Celtics54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.569846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Celtics54c54.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.946965.2%45 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Celtics57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8828251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Bulls44c49.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x522b…5160backed Bulls30c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-75.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics56c47.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.243,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Celtics54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.349852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Bulls47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Bulls46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.413953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Celtics56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Bulls43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.773953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Celtics66c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6663…af59backed Celtics54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Celtics55c35.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.062,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Celtics56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7125056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Celtics56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7121756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Celtics56c35.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.77437.8%28 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Celtics57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095560%33 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Celtics57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Celtics57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Celtics58c34.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.743053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Celtics54c33.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3211151.4%57 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Bulls43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Celtics51c29.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6911464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Bulls44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Celtics56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Celtics57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3240853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Celtics57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3215253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Celtics57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.754245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics66c24.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.423,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls44c23.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Celtics55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Celtics54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Celtics53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Celtics70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Celtics55c18.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.