TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under48c74,581$35,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,618.9116846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c34,440$18,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,106.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c20,878$10,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,856.731,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c9,205$4,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7113,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over49c4,002$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.8344337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under45c3,837$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.5342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under45c3,532$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over53c2,299$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.629652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over52c2,110$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09724847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00052460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under53c1,975$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,925$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0012,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over52c1,485$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over56c1,344$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c1,281$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c1,000$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.182,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c722.62$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.982,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20421858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1224556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15917041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over55c146$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.38151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x493f…c3b2backed Over52c134$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under45c132.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under44c111$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.161,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over53c109.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5863142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Over52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.924949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over56c89.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over54c81.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2557250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.87142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Over55c78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.96053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a3…ccd8backed Under49c69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Over53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…5c68backed Under48c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Over55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.253458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.533147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over53c44.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4750648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over55c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Under48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2315440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.423348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Under45c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3820456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Under45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Under45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de1…2d12backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016968.6%116 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3615051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.332649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.325250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.331852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under54c24.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2424552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2414648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2431250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2415352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2415854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2426648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2425150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.218649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.