NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0024aa254c2cab446f26b996773a166b34ab31d73da40827c35b2fb416119d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Bulls, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,187,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,336,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,187,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bulls | 20c | 119,366$23,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,443.08 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Celtics | 80c | 78,954$63,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,790.82 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Celtics | 80c | 75,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bulls | 20c | 53,592$10,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,718.49 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 19c | 47,786$9,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,079.36 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 0c | 35,008$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Bulls | 19c | 25,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.91 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 20c | 21,999$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.8 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bulls | 1c | 20,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 18c | 19,767$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bulls | 17c | 18,723$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.86 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 18c | 17,291$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls | 0c | 17,211$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bulls | 5c | 16,974$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 1c | 16,500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls | 1c | 16,020$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…03c0backed Bulls | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Bulls | 20c | 14,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bulls | 18c | 13,889$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls | 4c | 11,279$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.92 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 10,422$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls | 20c | 10,002$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.4 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Bulls | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 0c | 9,743$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bulls | 9c | 8,847$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.83 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Bulls | 5c | 8,563$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 19c | 7,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.96 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…f1eabacked Bulls | 18c | 6,700$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bulls | 17c | 6,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 20c | 6,100$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bulls | 18c | 5,994$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.94 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 0c | 5,706$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Celtics | 80c | 5,555$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Bulls | 18c | 5,513$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls | 1c | 5,404$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 3c | 5,376$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Bulls | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Bulls | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Bulls | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Bulls | 21c | 3,882$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.11 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bulls | 17c | 3,400$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 80c | 3,288$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Bulls | 5c | 3,287$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics | 78c | 3,065$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.19 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1314…967abacked Bulls | 12c | 3,026$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bulls | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bulls | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Bulls | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Celtics | 79c | 2,918$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bulls | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 3c | 2,769$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…eb8bbacked Bulls | 1c | 2,713$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 45cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 1c | 2,673$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Bulls | 20c | 2,642$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.46 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Bulls | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 80c | 2,537$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.94 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Bulls | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.98 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 9c | 2,459$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Bulls | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bulls | 4c | 2,320$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Bulls | 4c | 2,251$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 1c | 2,210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Bulls | 18c | 2,200$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bulls | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3ec9backed Bulls | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 17c | 1,986$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Bulls | 17c | 1,890$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.42 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Bulls | 19c | 1,842$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Bulls | 20c | 1,703$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Bulls | 8c | 1,600$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…e00cbacked Bulls | 18c | 1,556$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Bulls | 4c | 1,539$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ca0bbacked Bulls | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…59d6backed Celtics | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Bulls | 18c | 1,333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Bulls | 21c | 1,307$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…7febbacked Bulls | 1c | 1,255$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 17c | 1,239$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Bulls | 18c | 1,229$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…e2a2backed Celtics | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Bulls | 20c | 1,190$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…47a5backed Bulls | 1c | 1,184$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 10c | 1,149$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bulls | 17c | 1,132$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Bulls | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Bulls | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Bulls | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Bulls | 18c | 1,036$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Bulls | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…9d08backed Bulls | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…734dbacked Bulls | 19c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Celtics | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…a405backed Bulls | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…7fa0backed Bulls | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.