F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b04521b6f8f1d10ce9e45fd619573b41bd77507797e6fde3f3cea14e0e392f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 51c | 13,607$6,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,709.64 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 51c | 4,510$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 3,318$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.94 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 51c | 2,181$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.44 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 52c | 1,996$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 33c | 1,217$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 66c | 1,065$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 67c | 970.37$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.15 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 31c | 544.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 35c | 487.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed No | 46c | 470.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 58c | 467.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 28c | 460.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…e524backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked No | 39c | 339.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 51c | 329.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 31c | 326.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 31c | 317.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 44c | 277.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed No | 68c | 244$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 33c | 226.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes | 38c | 207.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 45c | 165.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b94…3239backed Yes | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…8be1backed Yes | 36c | 139.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 70c | 125.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +671.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 52c | 100.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…2c25backed Yes | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 74.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1403backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 61c | 59.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…a29abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 35c | 51.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Yes | 62c | 51.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…1349backed Yes | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…c79ebacked Yes | 49c | 45.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 69c | 44.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f5e8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…af19backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8274…c499backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 37.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Yes | 40c | 35.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…5e21backed Yes | 61c | 29.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 55c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b0…8512backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.