F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a51ef3a361bffd1b84b9144881dc2991105a8bb9448f13654f95c23002469e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 17,458$13,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.69 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 25c | 12,106$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.92 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 76c | 5,876$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.63 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 5,255$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.66 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…8a8ebacked Yes | 25c | 5,213$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,355$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.47 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 2,209$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.72 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 25c | 1,721$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,643$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 21c | 1,562$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,534$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.08 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 78c | 1,473$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.46 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…04a8backed Yes | 22c | 1,454$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 23c | 1,209$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes | 25c | 960$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…3dacbacked Yes | 22c | 544.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…18cabacked Yes | 12c | 490$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…6e8fbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 398.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 383.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 362.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…446bbacked Yes | 16c | 304.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed No | 76c | 303.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 21c | 277.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…bdf4backed Yes | 11c | 268.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…8adabacked No | 76c | 261.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f06dbacked Yes | 25c | 247.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 26c | 191.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 14c | 172.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…abf4backed Yes | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes | 14c | 143.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 15c | 142.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 71c | 120.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 24c | 109.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 19c | 106.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 78c | 86.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 74c | 86.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1403backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 15c | 81.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…21dfbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…c01dbacked Yes | 16c | 72.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 79c | 72.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…af19backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 61c | 68.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 79c | 57.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 24c | 56.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 49.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…234ebacked Yes | 29c | 48.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 76c | 43.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…7e90backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.