Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9dc0fb90f0e1fb5944e372f50f25032d00f14da6daeedd042d11056def67bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8afe…73bbbacked No | 39c | 28,876$11,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,261.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…65c9backed Yes | 61c | 28,876$17,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,261.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…0686backed No | 45c | 26,617$11,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,977.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…2a06backed Yes | 55c | 26,617$14,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,977.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 54c | 4,244$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.74 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 70c | 3,841$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.76 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…1823backed No | 45c | 3,796$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 73c | 1,873$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 12c | 1,783$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed No | 10c | 1,298$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 11c | 1,277$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 78c | 1,260$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…3fcfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 54c | 927.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…919dbacked Yes | 55c | 907.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 72c | 841.88$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…398fbacked No | 10c | 831.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 63c | 777.5$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 46c | 749.84$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 700$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…c040backed Yes | 52c | 634.11$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 46c | 618.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 56c | 550$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes | 54c | 474.03$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…0772backed No | 9c | 468.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6723backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 70c | 450$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 21c | 420$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 62c | 401.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 22c | 398.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4937backed Yes | 76c | 326.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…f9e4backed Yes | 56c | 322.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Yes | 54c | 298.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…dc76backed Yes | 62c | 277.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 17c | 237.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 225.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 39c | 213.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…3db9backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 57c | 198.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 45c | 191.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Yes | 54c | 189.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…196dbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 59c | 151.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…515dbacked No | 39c | 135.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…735abacked No | 11c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 55c | 129.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 123.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…c7bcbacked Yes | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…53d7backed Yes | 55c | 107.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…044dbacked Yes | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…e19ebacked Yes | 64c | 98.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…e7f1backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…e5ffbacked Yes | 56c | 85.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…1e30backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…1f4cbacked Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 53c | 58.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0b…37bcbacked Yes | 54c | 52.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…6d0ebacked No | 47c | 51.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…ac64backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7d94backed No | 46c | 42.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 46c | 41.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…65dabacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b7…f1f4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…00a2backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Yes | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…ddcfbacked Yes | 56c | 31.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…9057backed Yes | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f5e8backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…39cabacked Yes | 54c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…d1b4backed No | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…f27abacked No | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…8773backed Yes | 56c | 25.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?this page
- Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Ding Liren win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
- Will Wei Yi win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.