NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e95353687ea1c6e084e461ed86b67c82f5221b2017e0f0ff7a44c4d9f0b43fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Jazz, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Jazz | 2c | 98,816$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.85 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…95ffbacked Jazz | 21c | 30,370$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 79c | 25,316$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz | 12c | 19,977$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Jazz | 22c | 14,085$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.71 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a5a5backed Jazz | 0c | 10,510$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Jazz | 30c | 9,687$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.96 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 19c | 8,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 7c | 7,197$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.73 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 11c | 6,951$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 11c | 5,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Jazz | 21c | 5,447$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.92 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Jazz | 13c | 5,406$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.73 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Jazz | 9c | 5,275$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.06 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 12c | 4,050$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Warriors | 78c | 4,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Warriors | 71c | 3,954$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.66 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 13c | 3,939$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz | 16c | 3,199$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.39 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Jazz | 15c | 3,177$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.79 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Jazz | 19c | 2,659$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 12c | 2,650$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Warriors | 73c | 2,627$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.69 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Jazz | 10c | 2,472$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Jazz | 17c | 2,420$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…bbcdbacked Jazz | 14c | 2,091$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Jazz | 30c | 2,081$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 68c | 2,007$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…cbb9backed Jazz | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Jazz | 16c | 1,880$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Jazz | 13c | 1,775$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 3c | 1,545$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Jazz | 15c | 1,435$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Jazz | 20c | 1,336$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Jazz | 32c | 1,297$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked Jazz | 10c | 1,203$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz | 17c | 1,064$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz | 15c | 1,026$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz | 28c | 1,008$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Jazz | 14c | 1,001$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Jazz | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Jazz | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…016cbacked Jazz | 15c | 960.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Warriors | 76c | 938.2$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f8babacked Jazz | 15c | 716.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Jazz | 14c | 714.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Jazz | 17c | 709.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed Jazz | 19c | 706.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 15c | 657.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Jazz | 17c | 639$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Jazz | 24c | 630.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Jazz | 16c | 628$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…5fd9backed Jazz | 16c | 625.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 9c | 624.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 12c | 606.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Jazz | 15c | 600$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 19c | 599.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Jazz | 17c | 599.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…8b37backed Jazz | 19c | 584.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Jazz | 21c | 567.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Jazz | 20c | 524.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…f713backed Jazz | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…3c9abacked Jazz | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz | 13c | 498$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Jazz | 9c | 483.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Jazz | 18c | 477.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Jazz | 12c | 471.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Jazz | 18c | 461.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Jazz | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Jazz | 7c | 434.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…dc3ebacked Jazz | 21c | 404.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Warriors | 74c | 385.77$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Jazz | 16c | 379.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 73c | 355.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Warriors | 79c | 352.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 17c | 351.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz | 11c | 351.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Jazz | 16c | 312.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Jazz | 24c | 309.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jazz | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Jazz | 17c | 299.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 8c | 261.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Jazz | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Jazz | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Jazz | 15c | 219.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Jazz | 16c | 215.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Jazz | 20c | 209.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Jazz | 16c | 206.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.