TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof NRG, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked G2 Esports44c126,711$55,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,234.762638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed NRG55c82,366$45,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,670.292259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed NRG57c52,951$30,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,136.0910756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed G2 Esports44c40,000$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked NRG57c17,588$10,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,025.119046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed G2 Esports40c13,300$5,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,915.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed NRG60c6,900$4,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,13713558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98cd…61f9backed NRG16c6,864$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked G2 Esports43c6,497$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.7526738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed G2 Esports79c5,798$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.192065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked NRG57c5,722$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.143754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb404…f61bbacked G2 Esports79c4,831$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked NRG59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed NRG55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked NRG55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked NRG25c2,802$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.526445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed G2 Esports44c2,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.425664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG39c2,015$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4428541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed NRG35c2,014$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.5817537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NRG17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3409837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG56c1,947$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.318457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports56c1,900$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports58c1,591$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.5668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked NRG59c1,525$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked NRG33c1,407$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.969042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed G2 Esports41c1,211$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.528438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG29c1,206$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.241,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed NRG56c1,193$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.212138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed G2 Esports44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed NRG55c909$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.956346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NRG21c877.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5d6…532cbacked NRG57c852.88$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed NRG27c829.53$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.392737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked NRG58c715.52$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4152152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked NRG56c699.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed NRG57c681$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.964528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed NRG58c679.96$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.669744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NRG19c632.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7726634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eba…b143backed NRG24c623.23$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed NRG36c554.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G2 Esports40c521.49$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG28c510.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 Esports69c475.18$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0917463.8%111 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked G2 Esports44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed NRG36c450$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3122047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked NRG57c429.41$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.763847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7152…faacbacked NRG17c420$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked NRG60c418.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22416142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG57c395.2$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2186747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed NRG59c363.38$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.397354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed G2 Esports47c308.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.789750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed NRG58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17423847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed NRG57c299.9$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9415553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG34c291.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.951,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked NRG53c288.71$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9725745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG18c288$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3839545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports46c272.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3470251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked NRG58c258.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9312750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed NRG59c255.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed G2 Esports47c253.13$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1310758.9%63 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked G2 Esports44c249.19$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0110743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 Esports67c241.66$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3314957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked G2 Esports44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked G2 Esports44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2712650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked G2 Esports42c221.31$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.362751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed G2 Esports60c218.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.84156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked NRG20c207.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed G2 Esports43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1149746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked G2 Esports75c187.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.174057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e83…7723backed NRG16c186.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked NRG57c178.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…33debacked NRG23c164$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NRG58c133$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0221055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked NRG42c125.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9e…a5dbbacked NRG41c121.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed NRG42c119.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da7…f04bbacked G2 Esports43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.272864.3%18 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+57.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x205a…08b3backed NRG57c114.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.382748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x757f…8ea5backed G2 Esports45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed G2 Esports44c108.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6918056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc579…57bfbacked NRG50c103.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.922045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked NRG59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NRG26c101$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6211433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG56c100.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4493148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed NRG21c100.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…539bbacked G2 Esports45c100.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.013148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed NRG60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5be…2bfbbacked NRG25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed G2 Esports64c91.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2110959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed NRG56c82.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.121668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…23ebbacked G2 Esports43c80.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb108…7212backed NRG57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65032%16 W · 34 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG22c77.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2379650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…276fbacked NRG33c76.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed G2 Esports42c73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3424946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed G2 Esports44c72.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e3b…f7c2backed NRG42c68.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.042920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x842e…9173backed NRG60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.