Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96aeba94f1f5ada3a02fc8f6cf8ec3beef6f12f45c2a408382add6336753089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof NRG, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG | 35c | 3,176$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports | 64c | 2,489$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.04 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked NRG | 39c | 2,347$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed G2 Esports | 62c | 2,297$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.05 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports | 59c | 910.64$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.93 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked NRG | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed G2 Esports | 52c | 529.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 34c | 456.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports | 73c | 428.34$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports | 63c | 416.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked NRG | 37c | 391.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NRG | 44c | 301$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 38c | 219.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed NRG | 34c | 214.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed G2 Esports | 50c | 201.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed NRG | 29c | 193.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports | 67c | 193$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked NRG | 27c | 184.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 36c | 134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed G2 Esports | 66c | 125.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked G2 Esports | 58c | 124.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 50c | 95.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed G2 Esports | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…9040backed G2 Esports | 67c | 80.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed NRG | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed G2 Esports | 61c | 49.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed G2 Esports | 57c | 44.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked G2 Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked NRG | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…f2aebacked G2 Esports | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked G2 Esports | 64c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…6c5ebacked NRG | 40c | 25.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed G2 Esports | 67c | 23.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.