Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4f5f4a7f225e72cf0e42f2eedb1eb2feb54217f099533b773fd990b80ef8d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof NRG, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NRG | 38c | 3,666$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.06 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports | 55c | 3,492$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.12 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 2,890$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.64 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 48c | 1,674$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked NRG | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NRG | 33c | 413.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked NRG | 9c | 172$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked G2 Esports | 38c | 121.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…08b3backed NRG | 62c | 121.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NRG | 26c | 71.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed NRG | 40c | 70.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed NRG | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 37c | 38.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed G2 Esports | 72c | 35.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…ab84backed NRG | 42c | 35.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed G2 Esports | 51c | 34.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked G2 Esports | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed G2 Esports | 53c | 22.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.