CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6d0355e9a0d31cc9edd4d11dcba0895fec35a014863f02df33d9ffa2e23c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Phantom | 27c | 5,486$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.36 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 19c | 1,605$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Phantom | 44c | 1,451$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.65 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Phantom | 44c | 1,260$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 36c | 1,233$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Phantom | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Phantom | 70c | 894.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Alliance | 67c | 846.7$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Alliance | 34c | 717.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.39 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Alliance | 51c | 699.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alliance | 58c | 647.57$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Alliance | 80c | 599.93$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Phantom | 36c | 535.34$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…f68fbacked Phantom | 27c | 530.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 33c | 519.26$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb37…30c3backed Alliance | 59c | 505.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Phantom | 37c | 499.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…9d29backed Phantom | 51c | 435.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Phantom | 11c | 434$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Phantom | 8c | 410.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Phantom | 62c | 404.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…4ec0backed Alliance | 56c | 402.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Phantom | 49c | 371.51$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phantom | 51c | 338.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Phantom | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alliance | 67c | 293.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 27c | 279.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Alliance | 64c | 279.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Alliance | 73c | 276.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…d74fbacked Phantom | 28c | 267.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Alliance | 67c | 263.95$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Phantom | 57c | 263.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Phantom | 39c | 256.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Alliance | 64c | 255.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Alliance | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Phantom | 79c | 245.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Alliance | 64c | 232.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alliance | 55c | 226.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 48c | 215.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Phantom | 46c | 215.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Alliance | 48c | 195.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alliance | 54c | 174.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Phantom | 64c | 156.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Alliance | 34c | 146.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 56c | 145.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Alliance | 77c | 130.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…797abacked Phantom | 68c | 128.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alliance | 48c | 127.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…c62cbacked Alliance | 74c | 123.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Phantom | 48c | 112.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Phantom | 21c | 105.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Alliance | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Phantom | 27c | 92.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Phantom | 27c | 91.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Phantom | 27c | 91.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Alliance | 64c | 87.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Phantom | 79c | 87.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Phantom | 62c | 83.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Phantom | 31c | 81.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Phantom | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Phantom | 61c | 73.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…2c5ebacked Phantom | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Phantom | 58c | 60.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Alliance | 50c | 58.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Phantom | 43c | 58.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Phantom | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Phantom | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Alliance | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Phantom | 56c | 47.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Phantom | 35c | 46.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Alliance | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…f2afbacked Phantom | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Alliance | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Alliance | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Phantom | 50c | 36.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Phantom | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…7973backed Phantom | 61c | 33.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…0a82backed Phantom | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Alliance | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Phantom | 60c | 31.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…f18cbacked Phantom | 72c | 30.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Phantom | 38c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Alliance | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Alliance | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Phantom | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Alliance | 57c | 28.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…d96fbacked Alliance | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Phantom | 63c | 23.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…d4b7backed Alliance | 68c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…449dbacked Alliance | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Phantom | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Phantom | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.