CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57206fb4c40cab512d01686b072669bc877c4035be922c31091f615a8f419e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof ASTRAL, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ASTRAL | 35c | 3,334$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.24 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed ASTRAL | 19c | 1,505$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Brute | 43c | 1,418$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.74 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed ASTRAL | 5c | 1,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Brute | 70c | 876.93$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked ASTRAL | 42c | 700$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Brute | 80c | 676.09$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked ASTRAL | 40c | 400$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed ASTRAL | 16c | 330$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brute | 42c | 282.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 18c | 246.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Brute | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Brute | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 43c | 185.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Brute | 80c | 176$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Brute | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Brute | 72c | 114.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed ASTRAL | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Brute | 76c | 90.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…126abacked ASTRAL | 31c | 74.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…b8c7backed ASTRAL | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ASTRAL | 33c | 45.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Brute | 48c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Brute | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group StageASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.