TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf101…f7fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$13.89
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$38.92
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$32.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$17.18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.59
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$69.91
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$101.19
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$168.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noah FA win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.