Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Noah FA win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32005b52ccbf99456f9dbb99f0b020253d914ea394c559e50af5d7186be0f1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1098…10a7backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 36c | 4,913$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.29 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 2,674$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.97 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 21c | 1,857$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.93 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 1,625$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.57 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Yes | 23c | 1,429$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.04 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,161$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 1,091$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.56 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 772.76$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.66 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 706.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.33 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 526.61$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.83 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 74c | 482.43$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 416$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes | 21c | 339.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 296.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 21c | 282.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 22c | 277.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…18c3backed Yes | 58c | 276.74$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 10c | 264.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 215$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +79%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed No | 75c | 198.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed No | 76c | 196.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 30c | 189.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 50c | 178.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 175$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…c9dbbacked Yes | 21c | 169.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 76c | 143.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 142.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 14c | 126.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 126.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 123.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 117.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 117.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 110.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Yes | 63c | 104.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 26c | 98.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed No | 76c | 98.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 79c | 97.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 47c | 96.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b37…4e2dbacked Yes | 60c | 93.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 89.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed No | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 16c | 79.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 24c | 71.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked No | 76c | 65.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 22c | 49.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 76c | 48.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 33c | 44.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 43.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…398abacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 36.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…9b67backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf101…f7fbbacked No | 77c | 28.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed No | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 60c | 23.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 68c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 20.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…8951backed No | 76c | 17.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d227backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will Noah FA vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.