TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, Walczaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki43c28,656$12,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,460.915,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance56c7,000$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.9766551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki44c6,958$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.12,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed55…1932backed Alliance61c5,794$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Alliance61c5,322$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.5324746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Walczaki31c4,500$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.9711434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance55c4,200$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.751,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Alliance66c3,708$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.222152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Alliance57c3,623$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.9192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Alliance61c3,000$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.6864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Alliance54c2,785$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.227740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Walczaki43c2,324$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Walczaki41c2,000$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82814955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Alliance52c1,913$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.3594445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5a…9ed6backed Alliance59c1,688$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.435362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Walczaki29c1,600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8226341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Alliance59c1,489$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.6630155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa960…9407backed Alliance57c1,410$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.39554.7%52 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki36c1,410$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.012,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Walczaki35c1,314$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1916935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Alliance57c1,295$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.5145065.6%295 W · 155 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Walczaki30c1,222$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.621,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki37c1,209$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Alliance57c1,006$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0522044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Walczaki43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Alliance57c837.59$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.016747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Alliance55c709.75$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.415950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Alliance71c636$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18622056.8%125 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Walczaki10c628.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6424538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Alliance56c627.76$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0422645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Alliance55c508$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Alliance55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki31c475$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.251,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Walczaki15c473.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Walczaki7c463.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.993828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Alliance56c451$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki12c422.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.685,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Alliance54c401$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.433748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…dbf7backed Alliance79c378.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.752962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Alliance60c363.56$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2927259.2%161 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Alliance54c350.19$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Alliance56c342.51$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…8fabbacked Alliance60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Walczaki44c318.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Walczaki38c307.95$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0211533%38 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Walczaki34c300$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036333.3%21 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed Walczaki40c299.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4914949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Alliance63c286.63$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.895444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Alliance54c272.37$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7361054.6%333 W · 277 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance53c251.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.121,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4837…f7a0backed Walczaki13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…7e00backed Alliance60c233.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alliance79c231.39$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.341,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Walczaki15c230.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2514242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3175…9805backed Walczaki8c221.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Walczaki43c213.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.237855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki23c206.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.024,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Alliance52c205.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.772548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Alliance58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8420859.1%123 W · 85 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Walczaki6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed Alliance64c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.314255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Walczaki44c199.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8739955.1%220 W · 179 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Alliance59c197.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Alliance57c174.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8721653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf101…f7fbbacked Walczaki39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Walczaki32c160.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9640635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance54c154.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Walczaki13c149.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3710650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed Walczaki42c146.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.816253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Alliance55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3615351%78 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Alliance55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…1e80backed Alliance55c118.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.342556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Alliance60c116.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0112948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03b4…77adbacked Walczaki44c114.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Walczaki33c109.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2945545.1%205 W · 250 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki33c108.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…5531backed Walczaki39c107.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.262560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki19c100.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.614,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Alliance78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Walczaki38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed Alliance57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Walczaki40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031738.8%123 W · 194 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…304fbacked Walczaki42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Alliance62c98.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3930951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Alliance55c98.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1854343.5%236 W · 307 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Alliance56c96.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6444552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Alliance56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.691648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e7b…b6bfbacked Alliance60c87.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Walczaki43c84.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4519052.6%100 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc559…498abacked Alliance57c77.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.033751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Walczaki17c76.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.942,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Walczaki44c74.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8949856.6%282 W · 216 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed Walczaki47c74.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Alliance59c74.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2187244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Alliance55c73.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Alliance56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.838753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Alliance75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Walczaki46c65.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.831,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Walczaki42c65.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5598248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.