CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ae710a38ab4e05731c7246ded9088f6728727c7d798ea4df7a0457f23d15dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 49c | 1,518$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Walczaki | 27c | 632.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 49c | 577.06$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Alliance | 50c | 323$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Alliance | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Alliance | 50c | 297$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Walczaki | 24c | 250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Alliance | 50c | 224.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Walczaki | 12c | 207.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Alliance | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Alliance | 54c | 157.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Alliance | 56c | 137.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Alliance | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Alliance | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked Alliance | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Alliance | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 74c | 66.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Alliance | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Walczaki | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance | 76c | 52.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance | 74c | 52.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Alliance | 51c | 49.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Alliance | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Walczaki | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Alliance | 52c | 38.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 52c | 37.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Walczaki | 49c | 36.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Alliance | 51c | 32.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki | 40c | 28.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Alliance | 50c | 27.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…0d81backed Alliance | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Alliance | 50c | 24.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Walczaki | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Walczaki | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Walczaki | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Alliance | 69c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.