TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0793…15e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,414Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$4,985.97
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,047.06
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.15
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$2,122.8
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$11,521.98
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,049.99
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$41.02
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.89
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,189.09
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,888.54
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.12
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.04
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.39
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+835%+$1,515.42
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$522.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$57.05
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.97
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$427
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.51
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$109.46
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.04
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.55
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-82.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.38
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$402.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$106.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,676.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.