Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9ce28eb032985f09d6449aa6282a0716a00d7af11e1de6ac2e758e6405f2cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 59c | 19,227$11,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,278.68 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 41c | 10,338$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.59 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 59c | 3,129$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.16 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 41c | 2,047$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.43 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 41c | 1,906$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.62 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…15e8backed Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Under | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 43c | 1,090$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.1 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 57c | 1,077$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.97 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 41c | 832.84$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.84 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 40c | 802.57$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.57 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 40c | 671$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.98 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 41c | 556.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 58c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 43c | 182.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 41c | 136$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 44c | 77.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 59c | 38.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 61c | 34.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.