TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Jelena Ostapenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ostapenkoof Selekhmeteva, Ostapenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$444,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Ostapenko78c28,245$21,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,320.131,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Selekhmeteva23c27,294$6,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.8219134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Ostapenko57c21,562$12,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,340.6280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Selekhmeteva40c17,233$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.9818337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ostapenko63c14,679$9,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.618,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Selekhmeteva55c12,811$6,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ostapenko41c8,958$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.736,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ostapenko58c8,322$4,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.153,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ostapenko54c7,629$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.5797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Ostapenko35c6,547$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.395232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Ostapenko60c6,451$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.9472132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ostapenko70c6,199$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.3565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2eb…e586backed Selekhmeteva0c5,510$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Selekhmeteva62c5,000$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.432,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ostapenko42c4,716$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.4275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Ostapenko43c4,671$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.6835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ostapenko60c3,862$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.594,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Ostapenko28c3,732$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.337630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Selekhmeteva66c3,691$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.9815751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ostapenko53c3,632$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.2776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Selekhmeteva51c3,562$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.3448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Ostapenko20c3,204$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.4822641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Ostapenko49c3,181$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.7359151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Selekhmeteva50c2,998$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.2421147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ostapenko52c2,754$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.791,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ostapenko18c2,726$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.111,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Selekhmeteva6c2,686$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ostapenko54c2,559$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.3618551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Ostapenko28c2,535$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8354320.9%9 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Selekhmeteva13c2,252$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Ostapenko59c1,922$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6436968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Selekhmeteva62c1,917$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.462,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x238a…c687backed Selekhmeteva45c1,867$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ostapenko37c1,747$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.322,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Ostapenko20c1,736$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.998240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ostapenko67c1,712$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.741,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Selekhmeteva47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Ostapenko7c1,592$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.868040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Selekhmeteva49c1,422$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69919846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ostapenko71c1,405$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.212,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…7ca0backed Ostapenko36c1,391$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.59850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Ostapenko73c1,362$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5744163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Selekhmeteva53c1,333$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.631,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Selekhmeteva44c1,258$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.087936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Ostapenko52c1,083$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2616133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Ostapenko32c1,072$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2735730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Selekhmeteva3c1,038$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Ostapenko24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Selekhmeteva53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Ostapenko10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Ostapenko5c976.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.39933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+167.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Ostapenko49c824.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.5720844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Ostapenko49c783.15$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7825542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Ostapenko50c769.92$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6634745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Ostapenko69c725.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.061471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Ostapenko15c680.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Selekhmeteva47c640.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8076…2f96backed Selekhmeteva42c598.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Ostapenko35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4338739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Ostapenko29c560$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.618636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Ostapenko21c549.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.757644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ostapenko71c532.15$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.841,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Selekhmeteva49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a01…01cebacked Ostapenko69c500.87$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Ostapenko4c500$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Selekhmeteva50c482$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1124637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Ostapenko62c430$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9311560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Selekhmeteva49c358.17$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.512,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b5…0e15backed Ostapenko46c358.01$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Selekhmeteva53c323.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.956,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Ostapenko65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Selekhmeteva49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Ostapenko20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Selekhmeteva51c299.89$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.949916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ostapenko47c285$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.051,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e3…9c70backed Ostapenko37c273.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f94…9564backed Selekhmeteva48c265$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c80…5309backed Ostapenko52c260$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…fc0abacked Ostapenko52c255$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Ostapenko8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7508…1292backed Selekhmeteva48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Ostapenko19c250$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.513923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Ostapenko24c242.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6823735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca5…eb3cbacked Ostapenko80c236.55$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.312268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Ostapenko6c235.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.712433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ostapenko45c231$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.051,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Selekhmeteva47c224.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.35648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Ostapenko49c216.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1747057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Selekhmeteva11c212.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d1…e3bebacked Selekhmeteva16c212.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Selekhmeteva49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ostapenko46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10834842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…fe32backed Ostapenko7c177.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.781850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10bc…76bebacked Selekhmeteva75c165.74$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.722236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Selekhmeteva50c163.3$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1214250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Ostapenko34c159.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.91947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Ostapenko38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9312752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Ostapenko36c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3506…f00dbacked Selekhmeteva78c149.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.691457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Selekhmeteva47c141.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.671,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.