TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa676…fe32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.64
Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Kimmer Coppejans vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Jan Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+150%+$16.81
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$135.62
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+1,381.5%+$165.78
Transylvania Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+113%+$28.24
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+89.2%+$107.89
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.07
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.9
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.8%+$82.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$71.4
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.6
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$94.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.72
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$25.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.79
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.33
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.18
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.43
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$85.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.