Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Kimmer Coppejans vs Thijs Boogaard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d323f3bd2099bc69e318700464d7b5d66403fc49674c714ff4f2b19d751a83f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boogaardof Coppejans, Boogaard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Boogaard | 61c | 9,577$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.63 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Coppejans | 64c | 3,523$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Coppejans | 54c | 2,855$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.91 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Boogaard | 44c | 2,583$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.82 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Coppejans | 59c | 2,236$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.53 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Boogaard | 41c | 2,195$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.12 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Coppejans | 37c | 1,946$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.65 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boogaard | 24c | 1,600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Coppejans | 65c | 1,537$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boogaard | 80c | 1,186$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Boogaard | 43c | 1,113$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.63 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Coppejans | 72c | 1,064$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.34 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Coppejans | 22c | 914.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Coppejans | 73c | 887.83$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.12 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Coppejans | 57c | 845.28$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.32 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Boogaard | 39c | 759.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.45 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boogaard | 46c | 597.42$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…fe32backed Coppejans | 62c | 421.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Boogaard | 7c | 403.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.29per pick | 6cpaid | +304.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Coppejans | 64c | 400.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Coppejans | 77c | 365.22$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Boogaard | 7c | 358.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Coppejans | 66c | 304.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Boogaard | 29c | 302.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Boogaard | 36c | 230.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Boogaard | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…ec75backed Boogaard | 21c | 115.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boogaard | 30c | 105.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Coppejans | 61c | 88.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Coppejans | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Coppejans | 62c | 58.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Coppejans | 74c | 45.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Boogaard | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Coppejans | 59c | 38.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Coppejans | 68c | 19.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.