Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a87d9b4d5468a037406bd5587920ccac33415621791971547cd8a24aa33f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 8,802$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 4,050$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 1c | 3,210$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…cc67backed Yes | 14c | 2,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 2,056$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 1,713$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 14c | 716.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 14c | 556.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 14c | 407.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 13c | 402.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 393.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 14c | 375.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 15c | 323$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 15c | 294.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 14c | 270.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 15c | 270$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 7c | 258$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 14c | 227.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 14c | 200.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 194$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…fe32backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 14c | 139.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 14c | 132$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…503bbacked Yes | 14c | 77.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 13c | 76.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.