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Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Zakharova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zakharovaof Pliskova, Zakharova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb85…8464backed Zakharova32c7,106$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.5172132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pliskova22c6,488$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.88,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pliskova36c5,127$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.872,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pliskova46c4,422$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.4211,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zakharova56c4,297$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.5165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Zakharova64c1,866$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.584,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Pliskova66c1,585$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.15950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Zakharova36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8961,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Zakharova52c1,371$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.5275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Zakharova39c1,339$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pliskova72c1,272$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.643,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pliskova39c1,216$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.17,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Zakharova37c1,178$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.8731753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pliskova80c1,027$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.081,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Zakharova33c999.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.9934745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zakharova68c902.3$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.616,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Pliskova76c853.23$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.7326065%169 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Zakharova25c777$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2912335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zakharova35c737.26$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Zakharova19c669.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7535132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…8432backed Pliskova16c626.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Pliskova25c560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14099639.9%397 W · 599 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pliskova64c510.06$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.441,21149.1%595 W · 616 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Pliskova63c508.17$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.846553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pliskova65c507.69$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zakharova24c431.64$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Zakharova19c422.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.984526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Pliskova64c411.66$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1253752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db2…fefebacked Pliskova76c343$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Pliskova7c287.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014813.5%20 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Zakharova37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.158753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zakharova22c256.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.46,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Pliskova80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.591,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pliskova64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Zakharova22c230$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…ab23backed Pliskova65c223.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pliskova48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf627…4bf7backed Zakharova69c176.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Zakharova36c161.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.159762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Pliskova41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.647057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Pliskova66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Zakharova44c143.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1818663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Zakharova42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.861,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Zakharova58c129$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Zakharova21c112.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6821843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Pliskova63c111$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.86740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Pliskova68c106.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.038549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6acb…583abacked Zakharova36c100.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.84728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Pliskova73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked Pliskova27c89.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Zakharova25c88.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7524826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zakharova46c87.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pliskova70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.611,92755.4%1,068 W · 859 L-43.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Pliskova62c64.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Zakharova23c63.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8652037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pliskova78c56.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…fe32backed Zakharova47c53.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zakharova48c50.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Zakharova25c50.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.492050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Zakharova34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Pliskova39c44.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Zakharova24c42.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.221136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick17cpaid+88.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d56…21b8backed Zakharova54c38.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc032…2ea5backed Pliskova80c35.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…6535backed Pliskova80c33.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Zakharova44c32.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4227543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb41…618ebacked Pliskova62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0011…8e5fbacked Pliskova63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Pliskova63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Pliskova65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Pliskova66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075161.8%464 W · 287 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Zakharova40c30.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Pliskova76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812156.2%68 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Zakharova58c29.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5318551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pliskova48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Pliskova75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2039…35d7backed Pliskova75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Pliskova76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Zakharova47c24.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.256,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb723…9129backed Pliskova68c22.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157459.5%44 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…7426backed Pliskova64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.814064.3%90 W · 50 L-0.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Pliskova78c19.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4215951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Pliskova74c16.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1627546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Pliskova80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105168.6%35 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.