TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed No77c19,099$14,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,630.2950249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes23c15,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No78c12,220$9,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,563.1233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c9,489$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.0890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c5,665$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,142.7369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes25c5,651$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,225.148461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c4,662$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.451,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c4,473$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.724,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No22c4,189$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.9929545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c4,050$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No31c3,112$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.419134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c2,140$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.3425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed Yes23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked No78c1,923$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes22c1,922$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.3613845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No77c1,746$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.425754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes36c1,701$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.5711336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c1,634$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.3530634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No78c1,545$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.949840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Yes21c1,223$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.993336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes33c1,218$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.3612553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes59c1,212$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes23c1,174$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.914934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Yes26c1,137$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked No50c1,085$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7809656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c957.98$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.0735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked No65c899.86$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.572055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No77c769.28$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.353148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No37c764.19$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6110927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c717.96$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c705.7$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.391,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes15c678.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.444337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c655.84$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No40c655.02$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.011540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes58c606$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c582.41$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d85backed Yes76c577.33$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.566920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c503$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb388…1496backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes35c431.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.941241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes79c431.7$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.365952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed Yes74c429.76$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa451…b40dbacked Yes75c405.01$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes56c403.83$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8715150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No78c400$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.168042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked No77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No77c360$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.223947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c344.25$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.642,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes24c332.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.352326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.316446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No41c281.13$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c279$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c268.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c264.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.023,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed No49c259.18$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3919037.9%72 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.393040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No77c201.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15415832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15416142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Yes24c191.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3f…3706backed Yes24c180.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9111137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes20c171.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.214023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No60c166.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.058075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No77c155.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed No30c152.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.042330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No77c152.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1210956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aad…ef0abacked Yes24c150.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.321330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1175032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No79c142$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7117537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c132.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked No77c131.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10111056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6e…e145backed Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes24c130$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.85644.6%25 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004465.9%29 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Yes78c128.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No78c119.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.963164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Yes28c117.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.591580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+108.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No18c112.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4535145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…4175backed Yes34c110.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+112%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0d…53a5backed Yes36c109.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No45c109.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.782147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No74c105$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.75072%36 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes23c102.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.646728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.