TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No72c11,072$7,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.137455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c8,875$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No71c6,209$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.6310539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x273f…56febacked Yes31c5,890$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c5,780$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.8320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No68c4,752$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.763557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c3,729$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.6690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c3,393$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.842,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No70c3,350$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.113444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes24c2,855$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No73c2,605$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.46243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No72c2,103$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.842958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes43c1,990$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes28c1,975$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d85backed Yes26c1,819$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes15c1,800$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No71c1,163$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.141675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes31c990$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c961$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.911,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c921.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c701.03$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes17c599.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes31c580.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No78c576$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c479.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No70c469$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No71c427.62$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.531668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes19c427.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.166728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No72c405.6$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.259158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.614139%16 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes19c376.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c365$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked No48c363$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.765440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes14c349.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.889134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8423947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes30c286.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes28c281.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.811540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes29c258$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8210927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c238.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c237.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c224.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7533734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5815832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c186$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c177.2$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No73c172$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.446346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa451…b40dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c164$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c161.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No69c130.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0316838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.47142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes27c116.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.326237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed No64c114.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.382330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes28c107$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.965032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Yes12c106.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes27c104.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes45c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes30c88.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.116344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes28c87.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7503…18f3backed Yes32c87.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes29c82.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94cd…8903backed No72c79.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c79.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed No57c77.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…eb87backed Yes29c72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011840.7%48 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…f49dbacked Yes29c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b2…56febacked Yes17c65.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc9…b0d2backed Yes29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…b538backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e1c…6709backed Yes29c56.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd4a…3cbebacked Yes29c56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.