TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$592,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No53c92,758$49,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,614.46048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c38,348$15,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,115.5290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c31,581$15,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,168.130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c20,805$14,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,660.034,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e9…8161backed Yes0c18,640$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c16,331$7,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,676.92,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No51c15,603$7,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,645.477455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes46c12,175$5,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600.6424145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2864…5260backed Yes0c11,840$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No53c11,728$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,512.079743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd170…675dbacked Yes0c11,360$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c10,890$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.1450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b5e…0d40backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb74…d076backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c5…db69backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7734…a959backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.993748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes48c9,748$4,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.6350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No51c8,259$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.871764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No51c8,200$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.966357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c6,838$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.761,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No51c6,631$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c6,536$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.043,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae05…a67ebacked Yes38c6,032$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.956051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No52c3,791$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.6820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c3,784$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.691,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6304461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes29c3,443$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.542751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes26c3,440$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.929541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes1c3,400$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.222729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes18c3,295$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.13727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a35…59febacked No50c3,074$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.618334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes49c2,853$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No51c2,630$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes38c2,600$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9961711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Yes46c2,555$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No52c2,541$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.233452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes35c2,501$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.349851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1508457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No51c2,434$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.819956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc270…a462backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes50c2,040$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d8…ce04backed Yes49c1,969$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539b…d322backed No51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes26c1,919$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0515150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes48c1,900$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.5142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No50c1,872$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.823441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No59c1,857$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.5640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No51c1,630$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.74348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed No51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c1,553$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c1,304$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No51c1,294$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51711333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes49c1,094$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5364540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes29c1,012$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c1,006$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48313046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes48c963.43$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+132.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes40c887.05$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.8213969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked Yes27c877.47$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes49c838.11$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.679840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes26c761$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6415246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c741.18$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1810539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Yes39c737.01$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes49c734.69$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes21c717.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes28c717.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3439751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes10c695.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes46c695.7$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.027241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…7a9abacked Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes31c626$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes41c617.01$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.761833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c571.24$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed No54c527$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes50c500.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.475942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed No51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.