La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abd5907f36b208ccd8ffaccd0ddb10bb0537e066b546942cf8c614b8d4faf59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,432,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 838 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 168,939$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.96 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 44c | 144,914$63,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,762.14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No | 58c | 100,000$57,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,065.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 57c | 83,111$47,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,574.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 56c | 68,400$38,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,096 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 42c | 66,554$27,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,952.47 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 43c | 66,069$28,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,726.78 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 60,546$20,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,314.96 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 45c | 55,700$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 49,540$21,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,897.87 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 57c | 32,273$18,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,020.01 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 56c | 30,357$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,357.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 56c | 29,640$16,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,041.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 27,877$15,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,479.16 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 56c | 27,727$15,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.84 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 56c | 25,491$14,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,213.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 1c | 24,120$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 56c | 22,106$12,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,631.34 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 20,015$8,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,777.1 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 19,766$13,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.09 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 57c | 15,490$8,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 44c | 13,977$6,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,113.18 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 13,321$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.04 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 56c | 11,110$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.89 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 43c | 10,010$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.48 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.99 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 56c | 9,524$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 56c | 9,293$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.03 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 7,800$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 6,759$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.26 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 44c | 6,560$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed No | 57c | 5,965$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 55c | 5,700$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 57c | 5,016$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.87 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 56c | 4,662$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.29 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 4,488$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.59 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 46c | 4,349$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 55c | 4,321$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 42c | 3,810$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Yes | 42c | 3,507$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 43c | 3,490$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 78c | 3,429$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.35 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 45c | 3,270$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.6 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 55c | 3,244$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.71 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 57c | 3,225$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 2,999$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 2,802$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.91 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 44c | 2,769$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 55c | 2,343$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.22 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Yes | 43c | 2,340$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…e812backed No | 57c | 2,330$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 17c | 2,293$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 44c | 2,274$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 44c | 2,267$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,138$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.82 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 11c | 2,128$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 42c | 2,091$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,927$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.8 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 1,878$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.98 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,774$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.46 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes | 2c | 1,770$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 44c | 1,704$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…b422backed No | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 44c | 1,467$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 28c | 1,356$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.41 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 40c | 1,301$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 37c | 1,300$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 57c | 1,265$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.2 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Yes | 17c | 1,255$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 15c | 1,154$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,143$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 1,142$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,138$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,124$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 27c | 1,117$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 44c | 1,112$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 42c | 1,028$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 1,019$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.