TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,692 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c14,938$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,838.185726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c13,929$10,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,233.044,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c12,202$8,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,748.790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c7,314$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c5,402$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.4310848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes29c5,172$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,672.412326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes46c5,101$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.574528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.913053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c4,650$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.6992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes29c3,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.721942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c3,003$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.091,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes25c2,855$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes22c2,530$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.151947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes20c2,408$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.323040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes80c2,131$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c1,987$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.821,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes23c1,935$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes29c1,913$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.231435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed No72c1,778$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No13c1,603$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes21c1,512$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.1813249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes29c1,444$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c1,401$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.211,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No2c1,320$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed No11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes25c1,162$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.588229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.482268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes28c1,015$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.512222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c836.8$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes23c738.79$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.791942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Yes25c626.1$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No16c600$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93150%0 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c575.4$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4263553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes25c574.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.677630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No63c522$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes17c517.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.863627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes8c485.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.661435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No72c476$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c462.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e46…3cf4backed Yes29c418.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c415.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.281,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9225…00eebacked Yes29c415.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c408.74$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.297132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3483250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Yes29c383.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.841855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa52…cf2dbacked Yes29c378.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes29c368.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1478…6efbbacked Yes29c359.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Yes28c357.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.351030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.145844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.144528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1411929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes8c353.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.475521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No6c351$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.832138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…1658backed Yes29c335.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+162%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes27c327.78$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.287838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes25c317.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.342544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3d…5f66backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+241.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3a0…22c7backed Yes29c287.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x139e…4f76backed Yes29c286.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+160.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes22c284$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.047440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c275.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8611342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c268$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9648934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c262.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.192,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes29c262.07$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.073330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes13c230.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.773135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes36c230$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed Yes36c221.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes27c203.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.710834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed No11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes15c199.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.995435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes12c199.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9816836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c195.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No72c193$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3118842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes21c192.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed No6c183.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Yes16c177.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+113.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c174.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes13c169.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.231811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf567…c3dcbacked No72c163.24$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…382dbacked No72c163.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No17c161.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.79248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…3492backed No72c161.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.