Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa301733042b9e5bc8868edb26460e66ee8ad7008916d8a4b941dbd648d0e6d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,284 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 19,620$14,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.38 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,305$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 27c | 9,259$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 73c | 7,785$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,548$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 5,006$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 72c | 2,800$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 2,752$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 72c | 2,413$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 3c | 2,375$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Yes | 28c | 2,069$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 2,016$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.49 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 73c | 1,861$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 10c | 1,551$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,464$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 5c | 1,043$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 27c | 840.44$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 829.48$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 73c | 735.75$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 718.37$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 72c | 703$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 5c | 662.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 655.97$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 8c | 640$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 27c | 614$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 591$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 25c | 536.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 27c | 519.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 25c | 469.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 23c | 460$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 392.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 74c | 364.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 33c | 296.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 28c | 257.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 16c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 74c | 244.09$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 233$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 27c | 219.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed Yes | 27c | 203.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…97b6backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes | 28c | 185.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 73c | 175.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…4b28backed Yes | 28c | 172$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 171.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 168.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked No | 73c | 168$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 166.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 27c | 163.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 72c | 149.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…b089backed Yes | 27c | 115.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…d7cdbacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 27c | 109.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…d027backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…5f02backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 67c | 92.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…c5ddbacked Yes | 27c | 91.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 90.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 31c | 89.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Yes | 28c | 89.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 71c | 89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 28c | 85.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.