La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0d88e8dec54649f38452072eb29691ece00bcd509eca4439ab805cc878b8bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Yes | 12c | 9,857$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 26c | 8,671$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.56 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 6,170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 26c | 3,897$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 25c | 3,117$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.3 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,050$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.1 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 1,884$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.32 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 1,852$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.41 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 75c | 1,848$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.13 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 25c | 1,799$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.76 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.49 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…c3edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,223$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 1,221$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 25c | 1,203$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 14c | 1,078$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +222%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 977.61$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 954.46$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 942$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.09 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 77c | 908.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 832.16$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.47 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 25c | 803.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 76c | 766.42$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4594backed Yes | 23c | 661.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ba4bbacked No | 77c | 661.14$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…900ebacked No | 74c | 605.88$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 537.79$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 520$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 25c | 510.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 75c | 480$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…499dbacked No | 77c | 461.93$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a34…d8f3backed Yes | 23c | 461.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 25c | 440.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 25c | 431.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 415.26$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 23c | 414.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 20c | 403$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…b025backed Yes | 25c | 396.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 26c | 388.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…78a0backed Yes | 5c | 342.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed No | 75c | 336.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…c1e1backed Yes | 25c | 328$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 25c | 312.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 26c | 301.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Yes | 26c | 281.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…328cbacked Yes | 23c | 271$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…17c6backed No | 77c | 271$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 75c | 264.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 76c | 262.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes | 6c | 251.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 76c | 243.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 25c | 221.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 207.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…fe32backed Yes | 9c | 202.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 25c | 176$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 174.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 172.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 172$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked No | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 23c | 167.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 160.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 76c | 152.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 151.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 75c | 149.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 75c | 147.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 25c | 140.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 137.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…78dcbacked No | 76c | 131.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…c461backed Yes | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 121.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 121$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88e…4383backed Yes | 25c | 119.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…957cbacked Yes | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 74c | 118.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…8488backed Yes | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…6201backed Yes | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…b0d4backed Yes | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…61e6backed Yes | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…2b17backed Yes | 25c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69c…b714backed Yes | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…e667backed Yes | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…371abacked Yes | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…5f02backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.