TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,499 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c11,096$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.032,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No74c7,431$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes4c4,070$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes26c3,918$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes27c3,850$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.921435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes26c2,985$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c2,338$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.061,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes4c2,298$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes1c1,976$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,653$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.514,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,391$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3635232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes17c1,374$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5111929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes17c1,103$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3610629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c1,016$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c1,012$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes27c800$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes2c740.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes3c687.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.112040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes26c676.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes4c648.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes26c590.42$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.513026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes3c577.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c470.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc876…1a19backed No74c405.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes8c383.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes13c347.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed No74c286.79$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.994676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c278.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No73c272.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.113161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c233.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes27c224.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c215.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes27c200.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c1…8c42backed Yes26c193.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes27c186.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d9…4627backed Yes7c163.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c163.1$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes26c152.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes27c150.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes26c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.556440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes18c142.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes26c121$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.441942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c120.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce64…9b19backed Yes17c116.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c7…0e45backed Yes27c112.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes19c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No70c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.386446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c99.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0910270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes19c99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.811258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes26c98.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1518842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes26c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes26c97.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.651637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes26c95.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.058938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes16c82.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.451030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes19c80.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c78.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes27c71.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.027623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed No73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes20c68.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.656142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No74c66.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.541060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c64.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…ffb0backed Yes24c62.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6921546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes26c59.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.629560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed No74c54.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No74c52.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.812860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecc…80a4backed Yes26c49.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed No74c48.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No70c42.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c41.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9528558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed Yes26c40.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d9…91a2backed No74c38.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No74c34.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.883275%24 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.012181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No75c26.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.737273.6%53 W · 19 L+0.3wins0.00per pick73cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.46165.6%40 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.925651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89a…467ebacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.