TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a6e…bd37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT9441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakinbacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$45.4
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$51.66
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+192.6%+$23.87
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dublin: Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry Searlebacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Nottingham 2: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$22.91
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$29.42
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$22.53
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Dammbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Danielbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.16
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.73
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$26.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.38
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$36.63
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$35.12
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.61
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.86
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.07
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.3
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$52.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$37.34
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$40.49
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$102
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$111.89
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$30.33
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$21.33
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.04
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.3
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.48
Columbia Lions vs. California Golden Bears (W)backed Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$10.26
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$31.53
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.12
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$65.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.