Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66cbec0e03aae79de8d5292f572c011cb377ebdcebad0700d0a2190860635e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 41,164$7,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,391.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 11,987$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 9,709$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 60c | 9,594$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.92 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 72c | 7,721$5,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.41 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…cd90backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.31 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 6,618$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 12c | 6,119$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.56 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.98 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 2,678$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.51 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,536$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.32 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 25c | 2,463$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.67 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,217$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.64 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,108$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.34 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 68c | 1,849$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.12 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 1,776$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.21 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 13c | 1,596$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.52 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…50f9backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 13c | 1,499$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.33 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,462$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.54 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 65c | 1,328$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.89 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 12c | 1,295$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.67 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…49d2backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…fe72backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 10c | 1,088$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 75c | 1,075$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.26 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 14c | 1,065$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.55 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 50c | 991.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.96 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.57 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…77f3backed Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 899.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 13c | 868.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.8 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Yes | 72c | 843.21$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Yes | 13c | 770.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…2c81backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…0598backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 13c | 768$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.16 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 26c | 735.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 78c | 729.17$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 725.43$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.75 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 59c | 704.95$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.59 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…b325backed Yes | 39c | 690.3$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…3727backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…eca4backed Yes | 17c | 652.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.97 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 16c | 611.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.87 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 31c | 586.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.84 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 24c | 534.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.26 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 12c | 527.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.24 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…917cbacked Yes | 25c | 517.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…07edbacked Yes | 31c | 476.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…da23backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.54 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 59c | 453.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.92 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed Yes | 48c | 452.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 23c | 430.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.61 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 73c | 426.28$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed No | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 18c | 394.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 389.25$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…abdfbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.92 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 13c | 368.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.29 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 38c | 360.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.13 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3075backed Yes | 22c | 360.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 11c | 360$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 355.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 12c | 352.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…642cbacked Yes | 58c | 342.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 334.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.16 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 25c | 334.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked No | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…68d4backed Yes | 32c | 312.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes | 56c | 308.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…b06fbacked Yes | 75c | 307.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…37aabacked Yes | 79c | 295.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 294.68$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 29c | 279.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.86 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 13c | 268$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6e68backed No | 51c | 265.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 25c | 256$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 65c | 255.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…0d26backed Yes | 25c | 240.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.