Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe1c5c633a121932f83e4077935e013bce7e9758e4a7c8660c1d6530b047c41c

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $184,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $179,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,697 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	19,823$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.39	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes	5c	9,961$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.96	218	7.3%16 W · 202 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes	5c	7,791$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	5c	5,000$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.88	54	5.6%3 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	5c	4,490$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes	5c	4,167$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	103	5.8%6 W · 97 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	5c	4,131$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.18	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes	5c	4,000$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	3c	3,899$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.77	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes	4c	3,491$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.01	112	18.8%21 W · 91 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa01d…3727backed Yes	4c	2,222$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+8.3wins	+0.14per pick	27cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	4c	2,200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b04…b1bfbacked Yes	5c	2,182$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	19%8 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes	5c	2,174$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1844…79d9backed Yes	1c	2,132$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes	5c	1,681$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fdb…c7fbbacked Yes	6c	1,656$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0645…f095backed Yes	5c	1,656$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Yes	5c	1,458$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	5c	1,111$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes	5c	1,042$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	31.7%46 W · 99 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+35%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	5c	999.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes	5c	990.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862e…7972backed Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes	5c	785.71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes	5c	696.53$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	3c	695.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca1…ee3fbacked Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b5…c594backed Yes	4c	666.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e1…ed2abacked Yes	5c	645.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.63	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	-28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	4c	644.13$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5daa…d619backed Yes	3c	637.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	188	29.3%55 W · 133 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	599.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf5…6149backed Yes	4c	593.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	4c	590.91$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes	4c	537.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Yes	5c	534.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	113	60.2%68 W · 45 L	+22.2wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes	5c	527.14$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b2…8f39backed Yes	4c	522.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	29%29 W · 71 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9442…2338backed Yes	4c	520$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes	4c	482.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1599…6098backed Yes	5c	479.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	4c	454.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Yes	4c	454.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	365	30.7%112 W · 253 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes	4c	444.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes	4c	444.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Yes	5c	424.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b078backed Yes	5c	418.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9251…e6b9backed Yes	5c	416.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4de9…41debacked Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	3c	402.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes	4c	340.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	148	18.9%28 W · 120 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes	4c	333.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	103	14.6%15 W · 88 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes	4c	329.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	104	26%27 W · 77 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2506…a511backed Yes	6c	326.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfc…4434backed Yes	5c	319.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Yes	5c	319.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x009b…cd4cbacked Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-59%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	5c	308.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	5c	306.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	5c	288.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d4…9409backed Yes	4c	257.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe47…3198backed Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	9.2%14 W · 138 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	5c	236.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f06…72a2backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?Yes won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event