TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,840 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c197,081$11,825 inLost-$11,824.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c6,187$417 inLost-$416.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes5c3,098$155 inLost-$154.9138026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa837…24a4backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost-$1006826.5%18 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd772…18babacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost-$501010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid+42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes6c816.99$49 inLost-$49.021,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes6c777$47 inLost-$46.6251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost-$307116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…0b9ebacked Yes7c457.14$32 inLost-$323112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…93d2backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost-$254513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Yes7c414.29$29 inLost-$2910734.6%37 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes7c400.14$28 inLost-$28.012,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes6c400$24 inLost-$2411818.6%22 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes6c400$24 inLost-$241,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab55…e83fbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0505backed Yes6c326.17$20 inLost-$19.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes5c250$13 inLost-$12.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost-$1527445.3%124 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes7c242.86$17 inLost-$1710416.3%17 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e7…a00bbacked Yes6c233.33$14 inLost-$143441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Yes6c204$12 inLost-$12.2420733.3%69 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost-$149326.9%25 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…cfe0backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$127015.7%11 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.