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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c84,334$9,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,908.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes12c16,942$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.7230214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006219.4%12 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes11c8,104$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.4115650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…ddeabacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes15c2,014$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes14c1,846$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes12c1,827$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.222187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes12c1,660$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.28117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa6…0beebacked Yes12c1,658$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes12c1,446$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.555510.9%6 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes12c1,400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16836024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes12c1,347$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6644524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Yes12c1,270$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4410729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes12c1,257$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes12c1,150$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes9c1,067$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ba…fe72backed Yes14c969.02$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3944…bd50backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011732.5%38 W · 79 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf53…2c81backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004818.8%9 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10816225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes12c875$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes12c841.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10132739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aaf…8ac0backed Yes12c840.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011936.1%43 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes12c804$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.488452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes12c766.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes4c752.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.092,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes11c715.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes13c714.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7411818.6%22 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes13c708.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…8c21backed Yes12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No80c627.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.312,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213329.3%39 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes13c600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Yes12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes9c558.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes6c557.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.622,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes13c554.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…68d4backed Yes14c515.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708731%27 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…e95abacked Yes19c514.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes10c495.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.245530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c450.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.174,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe560…74a2backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50180%0 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf837…bd42backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b1…77c0backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508222%18 W · 64 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507532%24 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb54…9e38backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019432.5%63 W · 131 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b23…403cbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1743…e614backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011132.4%36 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes11c415.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2551228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Yes12c400$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479326.9%25 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4445820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4703…2a01backed Yes12c397.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea4…77f3backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes12c368$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes12c340.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010416.3%17 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes15c338.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b04…b1bfbacked Yes14c338$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.324219%8 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb9…f582backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de9…41debacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00dd…5215backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013615.4%21 W · 115 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d1…1baabacked Yes12c325.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0712948.8%63 W · 66 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc83a…a701backed Yes12c323.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f74…f047backed Yes6c322.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-76.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…cdf6backed Yes12c320.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes11c320$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.217020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x207d…43c4backed Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes11c310.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1813718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.