Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7363eb799aa55a7713df8366c5ed0e5c6e93f0077558cb3e67820038f8bf7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 3c | 8,888$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.08 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 7,071$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 3c | 5,714$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 3c | 5,485$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…ddeabacked Yes | 3c | 5,327$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,013$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,246$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 4c | 3,522$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,847$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,473$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -43%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 4c | 2,425$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,063$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,899$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,774$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 3c | 1,481$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f35…82a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,471$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…74a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,333$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…7bc1backed Yes | 3c | 1,286$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 3c | 1,049$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 3c | 1,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 15c | 1,013$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 1c | 1,007$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…2c81backed Yes | 3c | 857.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…77c0backed Yes | 4c | 857.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 2c | 843.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Yes | 4c | 810$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Yes | 4c | 800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…96ddbacked Yes | 3c | 781.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 3c | 714.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 4c | 694.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 2c | 685.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 4c | 583.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…31a3backed Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3d…90c9backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…2ccfbacked Yes | 3c | 531.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Yes | 3c | 485.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 3c | 440$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 439.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…08eebacked Yes | 4c | 410.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 262 | 43.1%113 W · 149 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…2165backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…f247backed Yes | 6c | 242.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…3b11backed Yes | 7c | 211.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 130.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.