Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c28271b741c0d17f179ef344ba7b53849bb0def7c4cee6a84a5ead10c2ffd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 82,835$5,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.45 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 7c | 15,858$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.65 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 11,116$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,024$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes | 6c | 2,182$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,715$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,510$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 6c | 835.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 8c | 767.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…5fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…3f04backed Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 4c | 557.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…da23backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 7c | 371.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…0b85backed Yes | 6c | 335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 7c | 320$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…497ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…bd47backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 285.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…7868backed Yes | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 7c | 226.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…507abacked Yes | 7c | 225.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…4f78backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes | 7c | 220.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…ab0cbacked Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…732cbacked Yes | 7c | 211.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 145 | 15.9%23 W · 122 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…f4ffbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…0303backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 7c | 160.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef16…d826backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.