TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,671 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes3c6,084$162 inLost-$161.6838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c3,553$103 inLost-$103.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes3c3,516$88 inLost-$88.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes3c2,305$68 inLost-$686920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes3c1,768$48 inLost-$48.1192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Yes3c1,638$50 inLost-$509044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes2c1,015$25 inLost-$256414.1%9 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd099…6ad3backed Yes2c999.97$21 inLost-$217030%21 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Yes3c689.66$20 inLost-$2011230.4%34 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes3c555$16 inLost-$15.5451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes3c515$15 inLost-$14.949631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c400.36$11 inLost-$11.212,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…5062backed Yes3c345$10 inLost-$10.018833%29 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.