Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551f3cac61ed7866c856b836e3e2bbf80279c95bcd15ec75cbddd10b727e8f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 15,622$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 6c | 8,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 5,140$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 6c | 5,048$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 4c | 3,874$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 5c | 3,695$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,062$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 786.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…901dbacked Yes | 6c | 590$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 5c | 588$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 5c | 569.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 4c | 503.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…fd98backed Yes | 4c | 471$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…57debacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…039bbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 12.3%9 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…cf58backed Yes | 5c | 385$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…20b2backed Yes | 6c | 356.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…31c0backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f047backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…abbabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…d7d7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…dc21backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…85f4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…b67bbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.