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Asian League · resolved market

Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,447 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No33c7,671$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.936,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e0…1847backed Yes40c5,871$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…2776backed No60c5,395$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c5,029$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.031,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd7…88c6backed No60c4,275$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea7…9252backed No60c4,274$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf103…c256backed No60c3,865$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2829…309bbacked Yes40c3,324$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebca…a349backed Yes40c3,022$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c7…669fbacked Yes40c3,004$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…d827backed Yes40c2,956$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a6…aee8backed Yes40c2,747$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c2,049$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.192,56642.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L+52.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0027…c9b4backed No60c1,583$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No37c1,447$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5111931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No2c1,290$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.962,53538%964 W · 1,571 L+5.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes43c1,015$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5772722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c916$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.911,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed1…e515backed No60c735$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No61c638.49$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4816856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…446bbacked No60c541$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes68c505$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.71844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No30c451.2$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2519436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Yes68c406.04$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No7c402.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2614153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes69c361.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No26c295.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.917832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c266.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0922555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes41c244.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2617440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066e…6f56backed Yes69c242.32$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c223.8$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.231,14346.5%531 W · 612 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No58c209.92$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8518543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes41c208.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2938…c52ebacked Yes69c202.65$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No31c200.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6743826%114 W · 324 L-34.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No59c174.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed No32c170$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No59c168$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.125244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes63c155$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.774238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862548%12 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…066dbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…9388backed No60c133$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c3acbacked Yes78c128.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed No59c122.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b53…4e7dbacked No60c118$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c113$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.422,03654.2%1,104 W · 932 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed No58c95.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No38c84.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7173850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No26c74.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1746422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes43c73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.617557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Yes79c69.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes42c60.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.034553.3%24 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes41c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.413949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd985…1125backed No47c50.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389c…9a68backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed No33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412742.5%54 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4f…c738backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No31c42.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2896135.3%339 W · 622 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes70c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34450%22 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes42c38.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0478555.7%437 W · 348 L+38.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c29.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.395949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes70c24.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3862652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Yes68c21.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.872171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd5…b286backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd612…0477backed Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No59c19.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5758145.6%265 W · 316 L-23.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f81…1912backed No59c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5534…266bbacked Yes70c17.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.