Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11edfa2263a2a2672d5b73485fe6144c07e12fcd5fb5fe44d11afc626a9ddfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,358 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 9,534$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.69 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 10c | 1,823$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 28c | 1,788$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,237$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.42 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…2c50backed Yes | 6c | 710$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 11c | 255$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 29c | 219.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 62c | 175$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 87.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 60.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 76c | 41.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…4d4abacked No | 71c | 30.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.