Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a973604f8ebeac22aa5d929c68696c32d6106cb58358a3e10c3f1417fef07da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,919 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 55c | 12,222$6,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,463.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 2c | 4,405$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 4,080$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.88 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 3,600$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 47c | 631.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 24c | 605.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 54c | 554.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 423.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 353.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 9c | 296.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 44c | 262.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 110.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 48c | 104.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 45c | 99.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 97.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 54c | 86.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 47c | 84.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 82.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 70.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 45c | 68.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…460bbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 44c | 68.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 47c | 64.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 48c | 54.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 53c | 48.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 54c | 42.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes | 48c | 41.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 54c | 41.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 35.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 54c | 27.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.