Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d3e5b99d92648cc3de70b41855c2a65068c752e664f26d4959803ffe1aeb069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,609$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 77c | 661.27$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 51c | 594.64$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 590.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 50c | 391.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 286$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 124.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 121.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 58c | 78.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 70.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 51c | 43.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Under | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 40.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 28.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.